⚖️ Legislative & Regulatory

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STABLE

Regulatory environment largely unchanged

75% Agreement 0.0/10 Confidence 4/5 Models

Legislative Pipeline · 15 Bills Tracked

📋 Committee Referral 11

⏳ In Progress 3

⚖️ Signed Into Law 1

📋 Committee Referral HJRES10

Proposing a balanced budget amendment to the Constitution of the United States.

Latest: Referred to the House Committee on the Judiciary.

macro:3 Sponsor: Zachary Nunn (R-IA) · 15 co-sponsors

📋 Committee Referral HJRES6

Proposing an amendment to the Constitution of the United States to provide for balanced budgets for the Government.

Latest: Referred to the House Committee on the Judiciary.

macro:3 Sponsor: Brian Fitzpatrick (R-PA)

📋 Committee Referral HJRES2

Proposing a balanced budget amendment to the Constitution of the United States.

Latest: Referred to the House Committee on the Judiciary.

macro:3 Sponsor: Andy Biggs (R-AZ)

📋 Committee Referral HR364

Territorial Tax Equity and Economic Growth Act of 2025

Latest: Referred to the House Committee on Ways and Means.

Sponsor: Stacey Plaskett (D-VI)

📋 Committee Referral HJRES17

Proposing a balanced budget amendment to the Constitution of the United States.

Latest: Referred to the House Committee on the Judiciary.

macro:3 Sponsor: Jay Obernolte (R-CA) · 2 co-sponsors

📋 Committee Referral HR516

To amend the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 to modify the railroad track maintenance credit.

Latest: Referred to the House Committee on Ways and Means.

Sponsor: Mike Kelly (R-PA) · 152 co-sponsors

⚖️ Signed Into Law HJRES25

Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United States Code, of the rule submitted by the Internal Revenue Service relating to "Gross Proceeds Reporting by Brokers That Regu

Latest: Became Public Law No: 119-5.

crypto:3 Sponsor: Mike Carey (R-OH) · 9 co-sponsors

⏳ In Progress SJRES3

A joint resolution providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United States Code, of the rule submitted by the Internal Revenue Service relating to "Gross Proceeds Reporting b

Latest: Message received in Senate: Returned to the Senate pursuant to the provisions of H.Res. 212.

crypto:3 Sponsor: Ted Cruz (R-TX) · 14 co-sponsors

📋 Committee Referral S226

No Tax Dollars for Terrorists Act

Latest: Read twice and referred to the Committee on Foreign Relations.

forex:3 Sponsor: Tim Sheehy (R-MT) · 5 co-sponsors

📋 Committee Referral HR752

Methane Emissions Mitigation Research and Development Act

Latest: Referred to the House Committee on Science, Space, and Technology.

Sponsor: Sean Casten (D-IL) · 3 co-sponsors

⏳ In Progress S362

A bill to allow certain Federal minerals to be mined consistent with the Bull Mountains Mining Plan Modification, and for other purposes.

Latest: Placed on Senate Legislative Calendar under General Orders. Calendar No. 332.

crypto:3 commodities:3 Sponsor: Steve Daines (R-MT) · 1 co-sponsors

📋 Committee Referral HR931

To allow certain Federal minerals to be mined consistent with the Bull Mountains Mining Plan Modification, and for other purposes.

Latest: Subcommittee Hearings Held

crypto:3 commodities:3 Sponsor: Troy Downing (R-MT) · 1 co-sponsors

Executive Order 2026-02-25

Ending Certain Tariff Actions

Executive Order 2026-02-25

Continuing the Suspension of Duty-Free De Minimis Treatment for All Countries

Executive Order 2026-02-23

Promoting the National Defense by Ensuring an Adequate Supply of Elemental Phosphorus and Glyphosate- Based Herbicides

Executive Order 2026-02-17

Strengthening United States National Defense With America's Beautiful Clean Coal Power Generation Fleet

Executive Order 2026-02-11

Protecting the National Security and Welfare of the United States and Its Citizens From Criminal Actors and Other Public Safety Threats

2026-03-04

Fair Housing Home Loan Data System

2026-03-04

Community Bank Licensing Amendments

2026-02-25

Agency Information Collection Activities Under OMB Review

2026-02-26

Agency Information Collection Activities Under OMB Review

2026-02-26

Prohibition on Use of Reputation Risk or Other Supervisory Tools To Encourage or Compel Banking Organizations To Engage in Politicized or Unlawful Discrimination

2026-02-27

Agency Information Collection Activities Under OMB Review

2026-03-04

Agency Information Collection Activities; Submission for OMB Review; Comment Request; Extension: Rule 204-2

2026-03-04

Agency Information Collection Activities; Submission for OMB Review; Comment Request; Extension: Rule 302

2026-03-04

Order Making Fiscal Year 2026 Annual Adjustments to Transaction Fee Rates

2026-03-04

Agency Information Collection Activities; Submission for OMB Review; Comment Request; Extension: Rule 602

2026-03-04

Agency Information Collection Activities; Submission for OMB Review; Comment Request; Extension: Form F-3 Registration Statement

2026-03-04

Self-Regulatory Organizations; Miami International Securities Exchange, LLC; Notice of Filing and Immediate Effectiveness of a Proposed Rule Change To Delay Implementation of the Change To Provide Ori

2026-03-04

Deregistration under Section 8(f) of the Investment Company Act of 1940

2026-03-04

Agency Information Collection Activities; Submission for OMB Review; Comment Request; Extension: Rule 19b-5 and Form PILOT

2026-03-04

Agency Information Collection Activities; Submission for OMB Review; Comment Request; Extension: Exchange Act Rule 3a71-3

⚖️

Judicial Pipeline — Coming Soon

SCOTUS opinions, circuit court decisions, and market-relevant rulings via CourtListener

STABLE

{'legislative_momentum': {'crypto_bills': {'CLARITY_Act': {'likelihood': 75, 'market_impact': {'crypto': 9, 'equities': 6, 'RWA': 8, 'commodities': 4, 'forex': 3, 'macro': 5}, 'timeline': 'Senate markup expected January 2026, passage by August 2026 target'}, 'GENIUS_Act_implementation': {'likelihood': 95, 'market_impact': {'crypto': 8, 'RWA': 9, 'equities': 5, 'macro': 4}, 'timeline': 'Already law, implementation rules due Q2 2026'}}, 'balanced_budget_amendments': {'likelihood': 15, 'market_impa

STABLE

Based on the provided information and recent developments up to March 4, 2026, here's an analysis of the legislative and regulatory landscape: **1. Legislative Activity:** - **Balanced Budget Amendments (HJRES10, HJRES6, HJRES2, HJRES17):** - *Likelihood of Passage:* Low. Historically, balanced budget amendments face significant hurdles due to concerns about fiscal flexibility. - *Market Impact:* If passed, could lead to reduced government spending, potentially slowing economic growth. -

LOOSENING

{ "outlook": "BULLISH", "confidence_level": "High", "key_drivers": [ "Deregulatory actions: Fed proposal prohibiting reputation risk in supervision (anti-debanking for crypto/guns etc.), OCC rescinding Fair Housing Home Loan Data System.", "Crypto-friendly: HJRES25 signed nullifying IRS broker reporting rule; ongoing market structure bills like Clarity Act, GENIUS Act advancing in Senate Ag/Banking; Trump pushing against banks.", "Pro-energy/commodities: EOs promoting coal powe

STABLE

{'legislative_activity': {'balanced_budget_amendments': {'likelihood': 'Low', 'market_impact': {'macro': 'Neutral to Negative (long-term fiscal constraint vs. short-term stimulus)', 'other': 'Minimal impact on crypto, equities, forex, commodities, RWA'}, 'notes': 'Constitutional amendments are difficult to pass; impact is long-term and depends on implementation. Could create macro uncertainty in the short term.'}, 'territorial_tax_equity_act': {'likelihood': 'Low to Medium', 'market_impact': 'Mi

STABLE

# Global Macroeconomic Research Briefing I must provide an important transparency note: **My knowledge was last updated in April 2024, and today's date is March 4, 2026—nearly two years beyond my training data.** I cannot access real-time financial data, breaking news, or current economic statistics from March 2026. To provide you with accurate, factual data points as requested, I would need access to: - **Current Federal Reserve communications** (latest FOMC meeting minutes, Powell statement

1 of 5 models disagree with STABLE consensus